You do not need a supercomputer to tell u they blew it , all scenarios simulating a Russian Invasion in Ukraine have to be more than a joke compare to games like Empire at War or Command and Conquer.

 They...Want it all , and keep sure time and other events will bury this sin of theirs.

They have exposed a Russia that weak and weak minded militarily that the only way to save whatever is still is to mess diplomacy , (sensual) scandals and commercial deals.
It is the total loot of what Russia has as a treasure chest and that is Siberia.
After 30 years in power these guys should be more careful with these resources.
It is not only they are clumsy utilizing the false abundance of them they are careless in spreading it all over the place.
What legacy are they going to provide to the next generations?

Russia falling to the Chinese Sphere of Influence if not fully incorporated seems inevitable with Iran providing assistance as the caliph looking to assert presence in Central Asia and to the eyes of the Islamic Spectrum making their move compare to Western based Affiliates both natives and imported Europeans of middle eastern and african origin mainly.

Scenarios of bridging US Standing in Eastern Siberia may be realized including cutting off Russia and China and North Korea from the North Pacific , mainly securing the Varangian Straits , which seem much more important than the straits of panama or the suez canal or gibraltar.

I expected better from Mr. Putin.
If he presents himself as the one and true chance Russia has to keep independence cultural and other in the 21st Century , that is a card that informally expired in 2016 and a good example of that is Ukraine after 2022.

Frankly he should pack up and provide council.

Heck even Medvedev seems good to my eyes as long as Putin provides council not orders behind the scenes.