In a world without 09 11 2001 or Green Dawn Events and how circles use the media and information war in general not including standard chaos not further including someone who could actually knowing what he or she is talking about.

 Invasion on Iran was eventual or at least cripple the Nuclear Program.

I can not tell the time or timing.

All i can say is that in the exceptional case the Soviet Union managed to pacify Afghanistan , Iran would be next and that with the support of Stalinist Elements seeing this Theocracy renewal as dangerous to inspire the Tatars and other Muslims in the Soviet Union and a chance to gain access to the Indian Ocean and the Oil Resources.

An Iran weak because of instability and with a sworn enemy as Saddam Hussein only perhaps blocked because Washington would tell him to with again perhaps acquire Kuwait for sure would be an easy catch.

Both Desert Storms were injections to push this Pet in peace.